Business Articles - Money Management

Predicting Cash Flow

Avoid interest payments and late fees by predicting how much money you need and when you'll need it.

In the construction business, where large payments are often tied to job progress, poor cash management can lead to trouble, even in a profitable company. The key is a cash-flow budget, which is nothing more than a schedule of expected cash inflow and outflow. More important, it predicts your net cash position at any given point in time. This budget will tell you if you need to borrow money and how much, or if you have the excess cash to give your crew a bonus or to buy a new piece of equipment.

By following a few simple steps, small contractors can develop a cash budget that will meet most of their needs. If you require anything beyond the level of cash budgeting shown in this article, however, consider hiring an accountant or financial planner.

You should develop a new cash budget at the start of each construction season, and review it regularly as the year progresses. When you know your cash needs in advance, you'll be able to plan for the lean times instead of searching for funding at the last minute.

Revenue Planning
The first stage in developing a cash budget is to estimate your cash inflow. Assume that during the first six months of the year you will have three projects: a custom home, a labor-only framing subcontract for another general contractor, and a large remodeling job. To find out how much cash you'll take in over this six-month period, list the amount of revenue you expect to earn from each job (see "Cash Inflow").

Cash Inflow

  Income

Amount

Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 6-Month Totals

  Jobs

  Custom Home

140,500    10,200  32,000  55,000  43,300    140,500 

  Frame-In Only

10,200  5,100  5,100          10,200 

  Remodel

96,000       32,000  32,000  32,000  96,000 

Subtotal  

246,700  5,100  15,300  32,000  87,000  75,300  32,000 246,700 

  Other

  Sale of Trailer

1,000      1,000        1,000 

  Tax Refund

1,600        1,600      1,600 

  Smith Payment

2,200    2,200          2,200 

Subtotal  

4,800  2,200  1,000  1,600  4,800 

  TOTALS  

251,500  5,100  17,500  33,000  88,600  75,300  32,000  251,500 
The first two columns of the revenue table list income due from a variety of sources, including all past and upcoming jobs. This revenue is then distributed according to the month in which it will actually be received.

 

In addition to job income, add any other types of cash income here to complete the picture. For example, the sale of used equipment, tax refunds, and accounts receivable would all be part of cash inflow.

Cash inflow timing. Once you have estimated your revenues, figure out when you will actually receive each payment. Then create a schedule that shows the total amount you expect to receive for each of the six months. Let's say that for the framing job, which will be started first, you'll be paid half when the work starts and half upon completion. The custom home is scheduled to start next, and you have worked with the customer to establish a draw schedule of four payments. The remodeling project will be done last, and you have agreed to accept three equal monthly payments of $32,000. In addition, the final payment on the Smith contract, which is already under way, is due in Month 2; the tax refund is due in Month 4; and you're planning to sell that extra trailer when the weather improves in Month 3.

Expense Planning
Next, you need to identify all costs associated with the three projects. First, list only those costs directly associated with revenue producing jobs - materials, labor, and subcontractors. I find it convenient to break these costs down into job-cost categories, such as excavation, concrete, framing, and so on. Make a separate list to cover overhead costs, such as quarterly insurance payments, and include planned equipment purchases - our example lists a new compressor and nail gun, and the down payment on a new truck (see "Cash Outflow").

Cash Outflow

 Expenses

Amount

Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Totals

 Custom Home

  Excavation

2,000    2,000          2,000 

  Concrete

11,400    11,400          11,400 

  Framing Mat.

20,500   4,500  11,200  4,800      20,500 

  Carpentry
  Labor

8,900    4,100  4,800        8,900 

  Plumbing
  & Heating

16,500      2,000  8,800  5,700    16,500 

  Electrical

5,800      500  3,200  2,100    5,800 

  Drywall

9,100        9,100      9,100 

  Insulation

2,700      2,700        2,700 

  Doors
  & Windows

8,700        6,400  2,300    8,700 

  Trim & Stain

2,200          2,200    2,200 
  Custom
  Cabinets
7,400        7,400      7,400 
  Other Subs 11,900        7,700  4,200    11,900 
  All Other Costs 10,200    1,200  2,300  4,000  2,700    10,200 
 Frame-In Only
  Carpentry
  Labor
8,200  5,300  2,900          8,200 
 Remodel
  Framing Mat. 14,600        10,700  3,900    14,600 

  Carpentry
  Labor

18,300        6,400  7,500  4,400  18,300 

  Plumbing
  & Heating

12,100          7,300  4,800  12,100 

  Electrical

4,200          500  3,700  4,200 

  Drywall

5,800            5,800  5,800 

  All Other Costs

12,500        2,800  4,400  5,300  12,500 

Subtotal  

193,000  5,300  26,100  23,500  71,300  42,800  24,000 193,000 

 Overhead

  Workers Comp.
  -- Q2

1,800        1,800      1,800 

  Cellular Phone

900  150  150  150  150  150  150  900 

  Office Supplies

75      75        75 

Subtotal  

2,775  150  150  225  1,950  150  150 2,775 

 Other

  Compressor
  & Nailer

700  700            700 

  Truck --
  Down Payment

3,000      3,000        3,000 

Subtotal  

3,700  700  3,000  3,700 

  TOTALS  

199,475  6,150  26,250  26,725  73,250  42,950  24,150  199,475 
Direct expenses for material, labor, and subcontractors can be broken down by job into categories that correspond to phases of construction. The bottom of this table lists overhead expenses and planned equipment purchases that will require additional cash. As with revenues, distribute all expenses to the month when you expect to make the payment.

 

Cash outflow timing. You now need to estimate when in the six-month budget period you will actually pay the invoices. As with revenues, this process distributes total expenses by month, according to when you think you'll need the cash. Most costs, such as payroll expenses, are typically paid in the month the services are provided. Some of your suppliers or subcontractors, however, may give you 30-day terms, so you would record the cash outflow in the month following the date service was provided.

Beginning Cash vs. Net Cash
Now it's time to put together all the lists you've been making to predict how much cash you'll need at the end of each month to pay all of your bills. The table you create will tell you how much money you have at the start of each month, how much money you will take in and pay out, and how much money, if any, is left over (see "Cash Flow Summary").

Cash Flow Summary

 

Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Totals

  Beginning
  Cash Balance

2,500  1,450  -7,300  -1,025  14,325  46,675   

  Cash Inflow

5,100  17,500  33,000  88,600  75,300  32,000  251,500 

  Cash Outflow

-6,150  -26,250  -26,725  -73,250  -42,950  -24,150  -199,475 
  Net Cash Position 1,450  -7,300  -1,025  14,325  46,675  54,525   
This table compares revenues with expenses, and calculates any monthly cash surplus or shortage. The Beginning Cash Balance in Month 1 is the amount of cash in your business checking account; in subsequent months, the beginning balance carries over from the Net Cash Position of the month before. The negative numbers in Month 2 and Month 3 mean there won't be enough cash on hand to pay all of your expenses for those months.

 

The Beginning Cash Balance is the total cash on hand at the start of Month 1. In other words, it's the amount you expect to have in your checkbook and savings accounts that is available for use in your business. In this example, we will use a Beginning Cash Balance of $2,500. Each month, this balance will change depending on cash inflow and outflow.

Next, for Month 1 only, add the total cash inflows and deduct the cash outflows. The resulting total is called the Net Cash Position, or the amount of cash you will have left over at the end of the month.

Now repeat the process for Month 2, then Month 3, and so on, until all six months are complete. The Net Cash Position in Month 1 becomes the Beginning Cash Balance in Month 2, and so on, in a pattern that shows how cash flow changes each month.

If the Net Cash Position for every month is positive - in other words, if there is money left over each month - then you are finished with the cash budget. In our example, however, although there is a positive cash balance of $54,525 at the end of Month 6, there is a cash shortage in Months 2 and 3. To keep your creditors happy, you will need to find a way to cover the shortage until the cash flow can catch up.

Any of the following options will help to eliminate the negative cash position, although each has potential drawbacks:

Borrow money using a line of credit. This method requires advance planning, and takes time for approval. Depending upon your financial strength, you may have to pledge some assets as collateral.

Borrow money using a home equity loan. This method also requires time to establish, and puts your personal house at risk.

Use a credit card to purchase materials. This can get expensive if you don't pay off the balance within the grace period. Some credit cards have interest rates over 20%, which will quickly eat into your profits.

Hold back or slow down payments to suppliers and subcontractors. I don't recommend this method, especially if you intend to maintain long-term working relationships. You could find yourself last on the list for getting services, or suppliers and subs may simply stop working with you. If you decide to pursue this option, however, discuss it with the subs and suppliers first - they may be able to help if they understand the problem and its temporary effect on your cash flow.

With any method that requires borrowing money, you are likely to incur interest costs, which in turn will increase cash outflows and ultimately affect the amount you need to borrow. If borrowing money is your solution to negative cash flow, be sure to adjust the chart to account for the cost of interest.

Eliminating Cash Shortages
The real advantage of creating this cash flow budget in the first place, however, is that you can avoid having to borrow money. Instead, you can make adjustments to both revenue and expenses that will improve cash flow and reduce or eliminate cash shortages.

Reexamine the draw schedule. It may be possible to adjust the timing of the draws on a project, such as having them come due at the beginning of a phase rather than the end. Also, putting a higher percentage of overhead and profit into payments for earlier phases may help (see "Adjusted Cash Flow"). In some cases, you may have to make these adjustments after the contract has been signed, but a sympathetic client may cooperate, especially if you can show that the revised payment schedule will not outstrip job progress.

Adjusted Cash Flow

Cash Inflow

 Income

Amount

Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6

 Jobs

  Custom Home

140,500    15,200  32,000  50,000  43,300   

  Frame-In Only

10,200  5,100  5,100         

  Remodel

96,000       32,000  32,000  32,000 

Subtotal  

246,700  5,100  20,300  32,000  82,000  75,300  32,000 

Cash Outflow

 Equipment

  Compressor
  & Nailer

700    700       

  Truck --
  Down Payment

3,000      3,000     

Subtotal  

3,700  700  3,000 

 Totals  

199,475  5,450  26,250  24,425  76,250  42,950  24,150 

Reduce Cash Shortages

 

Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6

Amount

  Beginning
  Cash Balance

2,500  2,150  -1,600  6,975  14,325  46,675   

  Cash Inflow

5,100  22,500  33,000  83,600  75,300  32,000  251,500 

  Cash Outflow

-5,450  -26,250  -24,425  -76,250  -42,950  -24,150  -199,475 

 Net Cash
 Position  

2,150  -1,600  6,975  14,325  46,675  54,525   
First, shift $5,000 in revenue from the third to the first payment on the Custom Home. Then, shift purchases of the compressor from Month 1 to Month 3, and the new truck from Month 3 to Month 4. These two adjustments reduce the Month 2 cash shortfall from $7,300 to $1,600.

 

Control spending. Another option is to delay the down payment on the new truck for a month or two, or try to squeeze one more job from the old compressor. You might also consider borrowing or renting equipment until your cash situation improves. As a last resort, consider your personal cash needs and realize there may be months when you may not get a paycheck, or less than the full amount until cash flow catches up.

Add a small job. If you examine your schedule, you may find time to slip in a small job or two that could be paid in full upon completion. If you feel the time will be available but the schedule may vary, look for a job that will allow for a flexible start and completion date.

UpdatingYour Cash Budget
No matter how well you plan, your actual results will vary. There might be unexpected expenses, or you might get that small job. When this happens, you can adjust the budget to reflect these changes.

For example, assume you sign a job to build a small garage in the last week of Month 1. You'll have to pay for the materials and labor ($3,000) in Month 2, which is also when you'll receive payment ($4,000). This adds $1,000 to your Net Cash Position in Month 2, which may further reduce the cash shortage in that month.

When the changes in your building business are significant, such as adding a major new project to the schedule, you should create a whole new cash budget. This process is even easier if you use a spreadsheet, such as Microsoft Excel. But whether you work with a computer or with a pencil and paper, cash budgeting is a small investment in time that will yield big dividends, helping your business to run smoothly and more profitably.

 

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by Don Reynolds
Don Reynolds, a practicing CPA, owns and operates a small construction company in Stanwood, Mich.
This article has been provided by www.jlconline.com. JLC-Online is produced by the editors and publishers of The Journal of Light Construction, a monthly magazine serving residential and light-commercial builders, remodelers, designers, and other trade professionals.

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