Predicting Cash Flow
Avoid interest payments and late fees by predicting how much money you need and when you'll need it.
In the construction business, where large payments are often tied to job
progress, poor cash management can lead to trouble, even in a profitable
company. The key is a cash-flow budget, which is nothing more than a schedule
of expected cash inflow and outflow. More important, it predicts your net cash
position at any given point in time. This budget will tell you if you need to
borrow money and how much, or if you have the excess cash to give your crew a
bonus or to buy a new piece of equipment.
By following a few simple steps, small contractors can develop a cash budget
that will meet most of their needs. If you require anything beyond the level of
cash budgeting shown in this article, however, consider hiring an accountant or
financial planner.
You should develop a new cash budget at the start of each construction
season, and review it regularly as the year progresses. When you know your cash
needs in advance, you'll be able to plan for the lean times instead of
searching for funding at the last minute.
The first stage in developing a cash budget is to estimate your cash
inflow. Assume that during the first six months of the year you will have three
projects: a custom home, a labor-only framing subcontract for another general
contractor, and a large remodeling job. To find out how much cash you'll take
in over this six-month period, list the amount of revenue you expect to earn
from each job (see "Cash Inflow").
Cash Inflow
|
|
Income
|
Amount
|
Month 1 |
Month 2 |
Month 3 |
Month 4 |
Month 5 |
Month 6 |
6-Month
Totals |
Jobs
|
Custom Home
|
140,500 |
|
10,200 |
32,000 |
55,000 |
43,300 |
|
140,500 |
Frame-In Only
|
10,200 |
5,100 |
5,100 |
|
|
|
|
10,200 |
Remodel
|
96,000 |
|
|
|
32,000 |
32,000 |
32,000 |
96,000 |
Subtotal
|
246,700 |
5,100 |
15,300 |
32,000 |
87,000 |
75,300 |
32,000 |
246,700 |
Other
|
Sale of Trailer
|
1,000 |
|
|
1,000 |
|
|
|
1,000 |
Tax Refund
|
1,600 |
|
|
|
1,600 |
|
|
1,600 |
Smith Payment
|
2,200 |
|
2,200 |
|
|
|
|
2,200 |
Subtotal
|
4,800 |
0 |
2,200 |
1,000 |
1,600 |
0 |
0 |
4,800 |
TOTALS
|
251,500 |
5,100 |
17,500 |
33,000 |
88,600 |
75,300 |
32,000 |
251,500 |
|
|
The first two columns of the revenue table list income due from a
variety of sources, including all past and upcoming jobs. This revenue is then
distributed according to the month in which it will actually be
received. |
In addition to job income, add any other types of cash income here to
complete the picture. For example, the sale of used equipment, tax refunds, and
accounts receivable would all be part of cash inflow.
Once you have
estimated your revenues, figure out when you will actually receive each
payment. Then create a schedule that shows the total amount you expect to
receive for each of the six months. Let's say that for the framing job, which
will be started first, you'll be paid half when the work starts and half upon
completion. The custom home is scheduled to start next, and you have worked
with the customer to establish a draw schedule of four payments. The remodeling
project will be done last, and you have agreed to accept three equal monthly
payments of $32,000. In addition, the final payment on the Smith contract,
which is already under way, is due in Month 2; the tax refund is due in Month
4; and you're planning to sell that extra trailer when the weather improves in
Month 3.
Next, you need to identify all costs associated with the three
projects. First, list only those costs directly associated with revenue
producing jobs - materials, labor, and subcontractors. I find it convenient to
break these costs down into job-cost categories, such as excavation, concrete,
framing, and so on. Make a separate list to cover overhead costs, such as
quarterly insurance payments, and include planned equipment purchases - our
example lists a new compressor and nail gun, and the down payment on a new
truck (see "Cash Outflow").
Cash Outflow
|
|
Expenses
|
Amount
|
Month 1 |
Month 2 |
Month 3 |
Month 4 |
Month 5 |
Month 6 |
Totals |
Custom Home
|
Excavation
|
2,000 |
|
2,000 |
|
|
|
|
2,000 |
Concrete
|
11,400 |
|
11,400 |
|
|
|
|
11,400 |
Framing Mat.
|
20,500 |
|
4,500 |
11,200 |
4,800 |
|
|
20,500 |
Carpentry
Labor
|
8,900 |
|
4,100 |
4,800 |
|
|
|
8,900 |
Plumbing
& Heating
|
16,500 |
|
|
2,000 |
8,800 |
5,700 |
|
16,500 |
Electrical
|
5,800 |
|
|
500 |
3,200 |
2,100 |
|
5,800 |
Drywall
|
9,100 |
|
|
|
9,100 |
|
|
9,100 |
Insulation
|
2,700 |
|
|
2,700 |
|
|
|
2,700 |
Doors
& Windows
|
8,700 |
|
|
|
6,400 |
2,300 |
|
8,700 |
Trim & Stain
|
2,200 |
|
|
|
|
2,200 |
|
2,200 |
Custom
Cabinets |
7,400 |
|
|
|
7,400 |
|
|
7,400 |
Other Subs |
11,900 |
|
|
|
7,700 |
4,200 |
|
11,900 |
All Other Costs |
10,200 |
|
1,200 |
2,300 |
4,000 |
2,700 |
|
10,200 |
Frame-In Only |
Carpentry
Labor |
8,200 |
5,300 |
2,900 |
|
|
|
|
8,200 |
Remodel |
Framing Mat. |
14,600 |
|
|
|
10,700 |
3,900 |
|
14,600 |
Carpentry
Labor
|
18,300 |
|
|
|
6,400 |
7,500 |
4,400 |
18,300 |
Plumbing
& Heating
|
12,100 |
|
|
|
|
7,300 |
4,800 |
12,100 |
Electrical
|
4,200 |
|
|
|
|
500 |
3,700 |
4,200 |
Drywall
|
5,800 |
|
|
|
|
|
5,800 |
5,800 |
All Other Costs
|
12,500 |
|
|
|
2,800 |
4,400 |
5,300 |
12,500 |
Subtotal
|
193,000 |
5,300 |
26,100 |
23,500 |
71,300 |
42,800 |
24,000 |
193,000 |
Overhead
|
Workers Comp.
-- Q2
|
1,800 |
|
|
|
1,800 |
|
|
1,800 |
Cellular Phone
|
900 |
150 |
150 |
150 |
150 |
150 |
150 |
900 |
Office Supplies
|
75 |
|
|
75 |
|
|
|
75 |
Subtotal
|
2,775 |
150 |
150 |
225 |
1,950 |
150 |
150 |
2,775 |
Other
|
Compressor
& Nailer
|
700 |
700 |
|
|
|
|
|
700 |
Truck --
Down Payment
|
3,000 |
|
|
3,000 |
|
|
|
3,000 |
Subtotal
|
3,700 |
700 |
0 |
3,000 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3,700 |
TOTALS
|
199,475 |
6,150 |
26,250 |
26,725 |
73,250 |
42,950 |
24,150 |
199,475 |
|
|
Direct expenses for material, labor, and subcontractors can be broken
down by job into categories that correspond to phases of construction. The
bottom of this table lists overhead expenses and planned equipment purchases
that will require additional cash. As with revenues, distribute all expenses to
the month when you expect to make the payment. |
Cash outflow timing. You now need to estimate when in the
six-month budget period you will actually pay the invoices. As with revenues,
this process distributes total expenses by month, according to when you think
you'll need the cash. Most costs, such as payroll expenses, are typically paid
in the month the services are provided. Some of your suppliers or
subcontractors, however, may give you 30-day terms, so you would record the
cash outflow in the month following the date service was provided.
Now it's time to put together all the lists you've been making to
predict how much cash you'll need at the end of each month to pay all of your
bills. The table you create will tell you how much money you have at the start
of each month, how much money you will take in and pay out, and how much money,
if any, is left over (see "Cash Flow Summary").
Cash Flow Summary
|
|
|
Month 1 |
Month 2 |
Month 3 |
Month 4 |
Month 5 |
Month 6 |
Totals |
Beginning
Cash Balance
|
2,500 |
1,450 |
-7,300 |
-1,025 |
14,325 |
46,675 |
|
Cash Inflow
|
5,100 |
17,500 |
33,000 |
88,600 |
75,300 |
32,000 |
251,500 |
Cash Outflow
|
-6,150 |
-26,250 |
-26,725 |
-73,250 |
-42,950 |
-24,150 |
-199,475 |
Net Cash Position |
1,450 |
-7,300 |
-1,025 |
14,325 |
46,675 |
54,525 |
|
|
|
This table compares revenues with expenses, and calculates any monthly
cash surplus or shortage. The Beginning Cash Balance in Month 1 is the amount
of cash in your business checking account; in subsequent months, the beginning
balance carries over from the Net Cash Position of the month before. The
negative numbers in Month 2 and Month 3 mean there won't be enough cash on hand
to pay all of your expenses for those months. |
The Beginning Cash Balance is the total cash on hand at the start of Month
1. In other words, it's the amount you expect to have in your checkbook and
savings accounts that is available for use in your business. In this example,
we will use a Beginning Cash Balance of $2,500. Each month, this balance will
change depending on cash inflow and outflow.
Next, for Month 1 only, add the total cash inflows and deduct the cash
outflows. The resulting total is called the Net Cash Position, or the amount of
cash you will have left over at the end of the month.
Now repeat the process for Month 2, then Month 3, and so on, until all six
months are complete. The Net Cash Position in Month 1 becomes the Beginning
Cash Balance in Month 2, and so on, in a pattern that shows how cash flow
changes each month.
If the Net Cash Position for every month is positive - in other words, if
there is money left over each month - then you are finished with the cash
budget. In our example, however, although there is a positive cash balance of
$54,525 at the end of Month 6, there is a cash shortage in Months 2 and 3. To
keep your creditors happy, you will need to find a way to cover the shortage
until the cash flow can catch up.
Any of the following options will help to eliminate the negative cash
position, although each has potential drawbacks:
This
method requires advance planning, and takes time for approval. Depending upon
your financial strength, you may have to pledge some assets as collateral.
Borrow money using a home equity loan. This method also
requires time to establish, and puts your personal house at risk.
This can get expensive if you don't pay off the balance within the grace
period. Some credit cards have interest rates over 20%, which will quickly eat
into your profits.
Hold back or slow down payments to suppliers and
subcontractors. I don't recommend this method, especially if you intend
to maintain long-term working relationships. You could find yourself last on
the list for getting services, or suppliers and subs may simply stop working
with you. If you decide to pursue this option, however, discuss it with the
subs and suppliers first - they may be able to help if they understand the
problem and its temporary effect on your cash flow.
With any method that requires borrowing money, you are likely to incur
interest costs, which in turn will increase cash outflows and ultimately affect
the amount you need to borrow. If borrowing money is your solution to negative
cash flow, be sure to adjust the chart to account for the cost of interest.
The real advantage of creating this cash flow budget in the first
place, however, is that you can avoid having to borrow money. Instead, you can
make adjustments to both revenue and expenses that will improve cash flow and
reduce or eliminate cash shortages.
It may be
possible to adjust the timing of the draws on a project, such as having them
come due at the beginning of a phase rather than the end. Also, putting a
higher percentage of overhead and profit into payments for earlier phases may
help (see "Adjusted Cash Flow"). In some cases, you may have to make these
adjustments after the contract has been signed, but a sympathetic client may
cooperate, especially if you can show that the revised payment schedule will
not outstrip job progress.
Adjusted Cash Flow
|
|
Cash Inflow
|
|
Income
|
Amount
|
Month 1 |
Month 2 |
Month 3 |
Month 4 |
Month 5 |
Month 6 |
Jobs
|
Custom Home
|
140,500 |
|
15,200 |
32,000 |
50,000 |
43,300 |
|
Frame-In Only
|
10,200 |
5,100 |
5,100 |
|
|
|
|
Remodel
|
96,000 |
|
|
|
32,000 |
32,000 |
32,000 |
Subtotal
|
246,700 |
5,100 |
20,300 |
32,000 |
82,000 |
75,300 |
32,000 |
|
Equipment
|
Compressor
& Nailer
|
700 |
0 |
|
700 |
|
|
|
Truck --
Down Payment
|
3,000 |
|
|
0 |
3,000 |
|
|
Subtotal
|
3,700 |
0 |
0 |
700 |
3,000 |
0 |
0 |
Totals
|
199,475 |
5,450 |
26,250 |
24,425 |
76,250 |
42,950 |
24,150 |
|
|
Reduce Cash Shortages
|
|
|
Month 1 |
Month 2 |
Month 3 |
Month 4 |
Month 5 |
Month 6 |
Amount
|
|
Beginning
Cash Balance
|
2,500 |
2,150 |
-1,600 |
6,975 |
14,325 |
46,675 |
|
Cash Inflow
|
5,100 |
22,500 |
33,000 |
83,600 |
75,300 |
32,000 |
251,500 |
Cash Outflow
|
-5,450 |
-26,250 |
-24,425 |
-76,250 |
-42,950 |
-24,150 |
-199,475 |
Net Cash
Position
|
2,150 |
-1,600 |
6,975 |
14,325 |
46,675 |
54,525 |
|
|
|
First, shift $5,000 in revenue from the third to the first payment on
the Custom Home. Then, shift purchases of the compressor from Month 1 to Month
3, and the new truck from Month 3 to Month 4. These two adjustments reduce the
Month 2 cash shortfall from $7,300 to $1,600. |
Another option is to
delay the down payment on the new truck for a month or two, or try to squeeze
one more job from the old compressor. You might also consider borrowing or
renting equipment until your cash situation improves. As a last resort,
consider your personal cash needs and realize there may be months when you may
not get a paycheck, or less than the full amount until cash flow catches
up.
Add a small job. If you examine your schedule, you may find
time to slip in a small job or two that could be paid in full upon completion.
If you feel the time will be available but the schedule may vary, look for a
job that will allow for a flexible start and completion date.
No matter how well you plan, your actual results will vary. There might
be unexpected expenses, or you might get that small job. When this happens, you
can adjust the budget to reflect these changes.
For example, assume you sign a job to build a small garage in the last week
of Month 1. You'll have to pay for the materials and labor ($3,000) in Month 2,
which is also when you'll receive payment ($4,000). This adds $1,000 to your
Net Cash Position in Month 2, which may further reduce the cash shortage in
that month.
When the changes in your building business are significant, such as adding a
major new project to the schedule, you should create a whole new cash budget.
This process is even easier if you use a spreadsheet, such as Microsoft Excel.
But whether you work with a computer or with a pencil and paper, cash budgeting
is a small investment in time that will yield big dividends, helping your
business to run smoothly and more profitably.
- -
by Don Reynolds
Don Reynolds, a practicing CPA, owns and operates a small construction company in Stanwood, Mich.
This article has been provided by www.jlconline.com. JLC-Online is produced by the editors and publishers of The Journal of Light Construction, a monthly magazine serving residential and light-commercial builders, remodelers, designers, and other trade professionals.
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